Mayoral Race Tightens as Incumbent Adam’s Support Fades

The race for New York City Mayor has become more competitive following the withdrawal of Mayor Eric Adams, with a recent poll indicating shifts in voter preferences. Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani remains the frontrunner, now supported by 46% of likely voters, down from 68% when Adams was still in the race. Independent candidate Andrew Cuomo comes in second with 33%, while Republican Curtis Sliwa holds 15% support.

The latest survey shows Mamdani’s lead shrinking to 13 points, compared to a 22-point margin last month. Notably, most of Adams’ supporters seem to have shifted allegiance to Cuomo, who has gained ground as the alternative to Mamdani. Sliwa’s support, however, has remained steady.

Voters also expressed views on which candidate would best represent New York City’s interests in Washington amid the current national climate. Support was nearly evenly split among Mamdani with 35%, Cuomo with 34%, and Sliwa with 22%, with some voters undecided.

In terms of policy, more voters believe Mamdani would be better at lowering housing costs (48%) compared to Cuomo (25%) and Sliwa (13%). Conversely, Cuomo is viewed as more capable of managing the economy, with 41% favoring him, against 35% for Mamdani.

Regarding foreign policy, voters were asked which candidate aligns with their views on the Israel-Hamas conflict. Support was divided, with 45% favoring Mamdani, 26% Cuomo, and 13% Sliwa. Additionally, a significant portion of voters sympathize more with Palestinians than Israelis.

While the poll, conducted from October 3 to 7 with a margin of error of ±3.9%, shows Mamdani’s continued dominance, it also highlights the shifting dynamics following Adams’ exit. Cuomo has gained support from various voter groups, but concerns over his reputation remain significant.